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The Alamo Bowl has the Oregon State University Beavers of the PAC 12 Conference facing the University of Texas Longhorns of the Big 12 Conference. Here is how each team looks using the NCAA FBS Production Model.
Oregon State finished the regular season at 9-3 against a tougher than average strength of schedule. Thus Oregon State's strength of schedule was more than one standard deviation from the mean strength of schedule for the rest of the "league". OSU's most impressive game was a 27-20 victory over currently ranked #21 UCLA and their worst performance was a 17-20 loss to currently ranked #52 Washington. Oregon State is currently ranked as the #19 most productive team in the nation, with the #25 ranked offense and the #28 ranked defense.
The Texas Longhorns finished the regular season at 8-4 playing against an average strength of schedule. The Longhorns best win (win over highest ranked team in the NCAA FBS Production Model) was 41-36 victory over currently ranked #49 Oklahoma State University and their worst game (loss to lowest ranked team they played this year) was a 45-48 loss to currently ranked #67 West Virginia. Texas is currently the #55 most productive team in the football bowl subdivision with the #51 most productive offense and the #64 most productive defense.
Given that Oregon State is more productive than Texas, the model "predicts" that Oregon State will be the winner of today's Alamo Bowl.
3 Ocak 2013 Perşembe
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl 2012
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The Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl has the Michigan State Spartans of the Big 10 conference facing the Texas Christian University Horned Frogs of the Big 12 conference. Here is how each team looks using the NCAA FBS Production Model.
Michigan State is currently 6-6 playing a tougher than average strength of schedule as compared to the rest of the "league". Michigan State's best game was a 17-13 victory over currently ranked #12 Boise State and their worst performance was a 16-19 loss to currently ranked #78 Iowa. Michigan State is currently the #46 ranked team in overall production with the #101 ranked offense and the #8 ranked defense.
Texas Christian University (TCU) finished the regular season at 7-5 while playing against an average strength of schedule. TCU's best game this season was a 20-13 victory over currently ranked #55 Texas and their worst performance was a loss to currently ranked #69 Iowa State. TCU is currently ranked as the #43 most productive team overall with the #64 most productive offense and the #25 most productive defense.
Given that TCU is slightly better than Michigan State, the model "predicts" that TCU will be the victor in today's Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl.
Michigan State is currently 6-6 playing a tougher than average strength of schedule as compared to the rest of the "league". Michigan State's best game was a 17-13 victory over currently ranked #12 Boise State and their worst performance was a 16-19 loss to currently ranked #78 Iowa. Michigan State is currently the #46 ranked team in overall production with the #101 ranked offense and the #8 ranked defense.
Texas Christian University (TCU) finished the regular season at 7-5 while playing against an average strength of schedule. TCU's best game this season was a 20-13 victory over currently ranked #55 Texas and their worst performance was a loss to currently ranked #69 Iowa State. TCU is currently ranked as the #43 most productive team overall with the #64 most productive offense and the #25 most productive defense.
Given that TCU is slightly better than Michigan State, the model "predicts" that TCU will be the victor in today's Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl.
Liberty Bowl 2012
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In today's Liberty Bowl we have the Iowa State Cyclones of the Big 12 Conference facing the Tulsa Golden Hurricane of Conference USA. Here is how each team looks using the NCAA FBS Production Model.
Iowa State is currently 6-6 playing against an average strength of schedule. Iowa State's most impressive game was a victory over currently ranked #38 Tulsa (who they are playing today), and their least impressive game was a loss to currently ranked #67 West Virginia. Iowa State is currently ranked as the #69 most productive team in FBS with the #73 most productive offense and the #67 most productive defense.
Tulsa is currently 10-3 playing an easier strength of schedule as compared to the average for the "league". Tulsa's best performance was a win over currently ranked #8 Fresno State and Tulsa's worst performance was a loss to currently ranked #96 Arkansas. Tulsa is currently ranked as the #38 most productive team with the #22 ranked offense and the #56 ranked defense.
Given that Tulsa is more productive than Iowa State, the model would "predict" that Tulsa will win the Liberty Bowl.
Iowa State is currently 6-6 playing against an average strength of schedule. Iowa State's most impressive game was a victory over currently ranked #38 Tulsa (who they are playing today), and their least impressive game was a loss to currently ranked #67 West Virginia. Iowa State is currently ranked as the #69 most productive team in FBS with the #73 most productive offense and the #67 most productive defense.
Tulsa is currently 10-3 playing an easier strength of schedule as compared to the average for the "league". Tulsa's best performance was a win over currently ranked #8 Fresno State and Tulsa's worst performance was a loss to currently ranked #96 Arkansas. Tulsa is currently ranked as the #38 most productive team with the #22 ranked offense and the #56 ranked defense.
Given that Tulsa is more productive than Iowa State, the model would "predict" that Tulsa will win the Liberty Bowl.
Music City Bowl 2012
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Today we have the 14th annual Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl. This years game features the North Carolina State Wolfpack of the Atlantic Coast Conference facing the Vanderbilt Commodores of the Southeastern Conference. As has been the case, let's take a look at each of the two combatants using the NCAA FBS Production Model.
North Carolina State finished the season at 7-5 playing against an average strength of schedule. North Carolina States best win was over currently #4 ranked Florida State and their worst loss was to currently ranked #88 Virginia. North Carolina State is currently the #70 most productive team in the football bowl subdivision with the #71 ranked offense and the #70 ranked defense - all below average.
The Vanderbilt Commodores finished the regular season at 8-4 playing against an average strength of schedule. Vanderbilt's best win was over currently #50 ranked Mississippi (Ole Miss). Just as an aside, six of the remaining victories for Vanderbilt were against teams that are currently ranked higher than 90 (bottom quartile of all the teams in the league). Vanderbilt is currently the #39 team in overall productivity, with the #53 ranked offense and the #24 ranked defense.
Given that Vanderbilt is more productive on offense and defense - relative to North Carolina State, the model predicts that Vanderbilt will defeat North Carolina State in the Music City Bowl.
North Carolina State finished the season at 7-5 playing against an average strength of schedule. North Carolina States best win was over currently #4 ranked Florida State and their worst loss was to currently ranked #88 Virginia. North Carolina State is currently the #70 most productive team in the football bowl subdivision with the #71 ranked offense and the #70 ranked defense - all below average.
The Vanderbilt Commodores finished the regular season at 8-4 playing against an average strength of schedule. Vanderbilt's best win was over currently #50 ranked Mississippi (Ole Miss). Just as an aside, six of the remaining victories for Vanderbilt were against teams that are currently ranked higher than 90 (bottom quartile of all the teams in the league). Vanderbilt is currently the #39 team in overall productivity, with the #53 ranked offense and the #24 ranked defense.
Given that Vanderbilt is more productive on offense and defense - relative to North Carolina State, the model predicts that Vanderbilt will defeat North Carolina State in the Music City Bowl.
Fiesta Bowl 2012
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This year's Fiesta Bowl has the Kansas State Wildcats of the Big 12 Conference playing against the University of Oregon Ducks of the PAC 12 Conference. Here is how each team looks using the NCAA FBS Production Model.
Kansas State is currently 11-1 playing against an average strength of schedule. Kansas State's best win was over currently ranked #26 Oklahoma and was defeated only once by currently ranked #73 Baylor. Kansas State is currently the 16th most productive team in the "league" with the #26 ranked offense and the #21 ranked defense.
Oregon is currently also 11-1 playing against an average strength of schedule. Oregon's best win was over currently ranked #8 Fresno State and their only loss was to currently ranked #18 Stanford. Oregon is currently the #2 team in the nation in terms of overall productivity, with the best offense (#1 in the nation) and the #27 ranked defense.
Given that Oregon is more productive than Kansas State, the model "predicts" that Oregon will win the Fiesta Bowl tonight.
Kansas State is currently 11-1 playing against an average strength of schedule. Kansas State's best win was over currently ranked #26 Oklahoma and was defeated only once by currently ranked #73 Baylor. Kansas State is currently the 16th most productive team in the "league" with the #26 ranked offense and the #21 ranked defense.
Oregon is currently also 11-1 playing against an average strength of schedule. Oregon's best win was over currently ranked #8 Fresno State and their only loss was to currently ranked #18 Stanford. Oregon is currently the #2 team in the nation in terms of overall productivity, with the best offense (#1 in the nation) and the #27 ranked defense.
Given that Oregon is more productive than Kansas State, the model "predicts" that Oregon will win the Fiesta Bowl tonight.
2 Ocak 2013 Çarşamba
Sun Bowl 2012
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Today the Sun Bowl has the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets of the Atlantic Coast Conference playing against the USC Trojans of the PAC 12. Let's take a look at each team using the NCAA FBS Production Model.
Georgia Tech finished the regular season at 6-7 (losing the ACC title game to Florida State) playing against an average strength of schedule. Georgia Tech best game was a 68-50 win against currently ranked #20 North Carolina. Their other five wins came against teams currently ranked 88th and higher. Georgia Tech's worst game was a loss to currently ranked #74 Miami of Florida. Georgia Tech is currently the #59 most productive team in the football bowl subdivision with the #36 ranked offense and the #82 ranked defense.
USC finished the regular season 7-5 playing a tougher strength of schedule than the average of the "league". USC's best game was a 38-17 victory of #31 Arizona State and their worst game was a 36-39 defeat to #62 Arizona. USC is currently ranked as the #29 most productive team in the NCAA FBS with the #27 ranked offense and the #37 ranked defense.
The model "predicts" that USC will be victorious over Georgia Tech in today's Sun Bowl.
Georgia Tech finished the regular season at 6-7 (losing the ACC title game to Florida State) playing against an average strength of schedule. Georgia Tech best game was a 68-50 win against currently ranked #20 North Carolina. Their other five wins came against teams currently ranked 88th and higher. Georgia Tech's worst game was a loss to currently ranked #74 Miami of Florida. Georgia Tech is currently the #59 most productive team in the football bowl subdivision with the #36 ranked offense and the #82 ranked defense.
USC finished the regular season 7-5 playing a tougher strength of schedule than the average of the "league". USC's best game was a 38-17 victory of #31 Arizona State and their worst game was a 36-39 defeat to #62 Arizona. USC is currently ranked as the #29 most productive team in the NCAA FBS with the #27 ranked offense and the #37 ranked defense.
The model "predicts" that USC will be victorious over Georgia Tech in today's Sun Bowl.
Chick-fil-A Bowl 2012
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Today's Chick-fil-A Bowl has the Clemson Tigers of the Atlantic Coast Conference playing against the Louisiana State University (LCU) Tigers of the Southeastern Conference. Here is how each team matches up using the NCAA FBS Production Model.
Clemson is currently 10-2 playing against an average strength of schedule. Clemson's best game of the year was a win over currently ranked #59 Georgia Tech (all of their other nine wins were against teams currently ranked in the bottom half of the FBS) and their worst loss (they only had two) was to currently ranked #27 South Carolina. Clemson is currently ranked as the #24 most productive team overall with the #10 best offense and the #53 best defense.
LSU is currently also 10-2 playing against an average strength of schedule. LSU's best game this season was a victory over currently ranked #13 Texas A&M, and the worse of the their two losses was to currently ranked #9 Florida. LSU is currently ranked as the #14 most productive team in the NCAA FBS overall with the #45 ranked offense and the #5 ranked defense.
Given that LSU is more productive than Clemson, the NCAA FBS Production Model "predicts" that LSU will be the winner in today's Chick-fil-A Bowl.
Clemson is currently 10-2 playing against an average strength of schedule. Clemson's best game of the year was a win over currently ranked #59 Georgia Tech (all of their other nine wins were against teams currently ranked in the bottom half of the FBS) and their worst loss (they only had two) was to currently ranked #27 South Carolina. Clemson is currently ranked as the #24 most productive team overall with the #10 best offense and the #53 best defense.
LSU is currently also 10-2 playing against an average strength of schedule. LSU's best game this season was a victory over currently ranked #13 Texas A&M, and the worse of the their two losses was to currently ranked #9 Florida. LSU is currently ranked as the #14 most productive team in the NCAA FBS overall with the #45 ranked offense and the #5 ranked defense.
Given that LSU is more productive than Clemson, the NCAA FBS Production Model "predicts" that LSU will be the winner in today's Chick-fil-A Bowl.
Heart of Dallas Bowl 2012
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Happy New Year!
The Heart of Dallas Bowl pits the Oklahoma State Cowboys from the Big 12 Conference against the Purdue Boilermakers out of the Big 10 Conference. Here's the tale of the tape in terms from the NCAA production model for these two teams.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys finished the regular season at 7-5 playing an average strength of schedule. The Cowboys most impressive win was 65-24 stomping over currently ranked #42 Louisiana-Layfatte, and their most disappointing performance was a 34-41 loss to #?73 Baylor at the end of the season. The Oklahoma State Cowboys are currently the #49 team overall in the league with the #16 ranked offense and the #86 ranked defense.
The Purdue Boilermakers finished the regular season at 6-6 also playing an average strength of schedule. The Boilermakers have recently fired their head football coach Danny Hope and replaced him with Darrell Hazell (former head football coach at Kent State). In terms of on field production, the Boilermakers most impressive win this season was against currently ranked #78 Iowa followed by a win over currently #87 ranked Marshall. In fact the other four Boilermaker victories this season were against team ranked in the top 100. Purdue currently is the #58 team overall with the #57 offense and the #58 ranked defense. Thus they are about as average a team as there is in the football bowl subdivision.
Given the model has Oklahoma State ranked slightly higher than Purdue, look for Oklahoma State to be victorious today in the Heart of Dallas Bowl.
The Heart of Dallas Bowl pits the Oklahoma State Cowboys from the Big 12 Conference against the Purdue Boilermakers out of the Big 10 Conference. Here's the tale of the tape in terms from the NCAA production model for these two teams.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys finished the regular season at 7-5 playing an average strength of schedule. The Cowboys most impressive win was 65-24 stomping over currently ranked #42 Louisiana-Layfatte, and their most disappointing performance was a 34-41 loss to #?73 Baylor at the end of the season. The Oklahoma State Cowboys are currently the #49 team overall in the league with the #16 ranked offense and the #86 ranked defense.
The Purdue Boilermakers finished the regular season at 6-6 also playing an average strength of schedule. The Boilermakers have recently fired their head football coach Danny Hope and replaced him with Darrell Hazell (former head football coach at Kent State). In terms of on field production, the Boilermakers most impressive win this season was against currently ranked #78 Iowa followed by a win over currently #87 ranked Marshall. In fact the other four Boilermaker victories this season were against team ranked in the top 100. Purdue currently is the #58 team overall with the #57 offense and the #58 ranked defense. Thus they are about as average a team as there is in the football bowl subdivision.
Given the model has Oklahoma State ranked slightly higher than Purdue, look for Oklahoma State to be victorious today in the Heart of Dallas Bowl.
Gator Bowl 2012
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Today's Gator Bowl features the Mississippi State Bulldogs from the Southeastern Conference and the Northwestern Wildcats from the Big 10 Conference - so it is a game between cats and dogs. Here's a look using the teams on-field production this year using the NCAA FBS Production Model.
Mississippi State finished the regular season at 8-4 playing against an average strength of schedule. The Bulldogs most impressive win (victory over highest ranked team using the NCAA FBS Production Model) was over currently ranked #54 Troy and all seven of their other victories were over teams in the bottom half of the NCAA FBS production model rankings. All four of their losses were to teams in the top half of the production model's rankings. Mississippi State is currently ranked as the #41 team in overall productivity, with the #45 ranked offense and the #33 ranked defense.
Northwestern finished the regular season at 9-3 playing against an average strength of schedule. The Wildcats most impressive win was over currently ranked #39 Vanderbilt. All three of Northwestern's losses were to teams currently ranked in the top quartile of the NCAA FBS Production model rankings. Northwestern is currently the #45 most productive team in the nation with the #46 ranked offense and the #38 ranked defense.
This game (in terms of the model) is fairly even, with a slight nod to Mississippi State. So the model would "predict" that Mississippi State will be victorious in today's Gator Bowl, but with not much confidence.
Mississippi State finished the regular season at 8-4 playing against an average strength of schedule. The Bulldogs most impressive win (victory over highest ranked team using the NCAA FBS Production Model) was over currently ranked #54 Troy and all seven of their other victories were over teams in the bottom half of the NCAA FBS production model rankings. All four of their losses were to teams in the top half of the production model's rankings. Mississippi State is currently ranked as the #41 team in overall productivity, with the #45 ranked offense and the #33 ranked defense.
Northwestern finished the regular season at 9-3 playing against an average strength of schedule. The Wildcats most impressive win was over currently ranked #39 Vanderbilt. All three of Northwestern's losses were to teams currently ranked in the top quartile of the NCAA FBS Production model rankings. Northwestern is currently the #45 most productive team in the nation with the #46 ranked offense and the #38 ranked defense.
This game (in terms of the model) is fairly even, with a slight nod to Mississippi State. So the model would "predict" that Mississippi State will be victorious in today's Gator Bowl, but with not much confidence.
Sugar Bowl 2012
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The Sugar Bowl pits the Florida Gators of the Southeastern Conference against the Louisville Cardinals of the Big East Conference. Here is how each team looks in terms of the NCAA FBS Production Model.
The Florida Gators are currently 11-1 playing against a tougher strength of schedule than the average for the "league". Florida's most impressive wins was over currently ranked #4 Florida State and their only loss was to currently ranked #7 Georgia. Florida is currently ranked as the #9 team in overall productivity with the #63 most productive offense and the #2 most productive defense - yes even better than one of the two teams playing for the "national championship" in a few days. Who, you ask? You will have to wait until I post the blog for the "national championship" game the day of the game.
Louisville is currently 10-2 playing against an average strength of schedule. Louisville's best game was a win over currently ranked #11 Cincinnati and of their two losses, the worst of the two was to currently ranked #65 Connecticut. Louisville is currently ranked as the #37 most productive team in the "league", with the #42 most productive offense and the #30 most productive defense.
Florida is more productive overall as compare to Louisville, thus the model would "predict" that Florida will win tonight's Sugar Bowl.
The Florida Gators are currently 11-1 playing against a tougher strength of schedule than the average for the "league". Florida's most impressive wins was over currently ranked #4 Florida State and their only loss was to currently ranked #7 Georgia. Florida is currently ranked as the #9 team in overall productivity with the #63 most productive offense and the #2 most productive defense - yes even better than one of the two teams playing for the "national championship" in a few days. Who, you ask? You will have to wait until I post the blog for the "national championship" game the day of the game.
Louisville is currently 10-2 playing against an average strength of schedule. Louisville's best game was a win over currently ranked #11 Cincinnati and of their two losses, the worst of the two was to currently ranked #65 Connecticut. Louisville is currently ranked as the #37 most productive team in the "league", with the #42 most productive offense and the #30 most productive defense.
Florida is more productive overall as compare to Louisville, thus the model would "predict" that Florida will win tonight's Sugar Bowl.
1 Ocak 2013 Salı
Outback Bowl 2012
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Today's Outback Bowl features the University of Michigan Wolverines of the Big 10 Conference against the University of South Carolina Gamecocks of the Southeastern Conference. Let's take a look at how productive each team has been this year using the NCAA FBS Production Model.
Michigan is currently 8-4 playing against an average strength of schedule. Michigan most impressive win was against currently #45 ranked Northwestern and their worst performance was to currently #32 ranked Nebraska. Michigan's other three losses were to team's currently ranked in the top 10 in the NCAA FBS Production Model. Michigan currently is the #33 ranked team in overall productivity, with the #68 ranked offense and the #15 ranked defense.
South Carolina finished the regular season at 10-2 playing against an average strength of schedule. South Carolina's most impressive game was a victory over currently #7 ranked Georgia and their worst loss (they only had two) was to currently #14 LSU. South Carolina is currently the #27 most productive team overall with the #55 ranked offense and the #14 ranked defense.
Given that South Carolina is superior to Michigan on both offense and defense, the model would "predict" that South Carolina will be the winner in today's Outback Bowl. Yet this game may be closer than some think.
Michigan is currently 8-4 playing against an average strength of schedule. Michigan most impressive win was against currently #45 ranked Northwestern and their worst performance was to currently #32 ranked Nebraska. Michigan's other three losses were to team's currently ranked in the top 10 in the NCAA FBS Production Model. Michigan currently is the #33 ranked team in overall productivity, with the #68 ranked offense and the #15 ranked defense.
South Carolina finished the regular season at 10-2 playing against an average strength of schedule. South Carolina's most impressive game was a victory over currently #7 ranked Georgia and their worst loss (they only had two) was to currently #14 LSU. South Carolina is currently the #27 most productive team overall with the #55 ranked offense and the #14 ranked defense.
Given that South Carolina is superior to Michigan on both offense and defense, the model would "predict" that South Carolina will be the winner in today's Outback Bowl. Yet this game may be closer than some think.
Capital One Bowl 2012
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The Capital One Bowl has the Georgia Bulldogs of the Southeastern Conference playing the Nebraska Cornhuskers of the Big 10 Conference. Here is how each looks using the NCAA FBS Production Model.
Georgia finished the regular season at 11-1, with a loss in the SEC championship game to currently ranked #1 Alabama, and the Bulldogs are currently 11-2 playing against an average strength of schedule. Georgia's best win this season was against currently ranked #9 Florida and their worst (of their two losses) was to currently ranked #27 South Carolina. Georgia is currently ranked in terms of overall production as the #7 team in the football bowl subdivision, with the #4 ranked offense and the #22 ranked defense. Yes, one of the best teams in the SEC played a strength of schedule that is considered average in that is is within one standard deviation of the "leagues" average strength of schedule. Later on this month, I will write a blog on the different conferences strength of schedule and investigate this in further detail.
Nebraska is currently 10-3 playing against a tougher than average strength of schedule. In other words, Nebraska has played better opponents this season than Georgia in a statistically measurable way. Nebraska's best win was over currently ranked #23 Arkansas State and their worst loss was in the Big 10 championship game to currently ranked #25 Wisconsin. Nebraska is currently the #32 most productive team in the football bowl subdivision with the #14 most productive offense and the #59 most productive defense.
Given that Georgia is more productive on both offense and defense, the model "predicts" that Georgia will be the winner in today's Capital One Bowl.
Georgia finished the regular season at 11-1, with a loss in the SEC championship game to currently ranked #1 Alabama, and the Bulldogs are currently 11-2 playing against an average strength of schedule. Georgia's best win this season was against currently ranked #9 Florida and their worst (of their two losses) was to currently ranked #27 South Carolina. Georgia is currently ranked in terms of overall production as the #7 team in the football bowl subdivision, with the #4 ranked offense and the #22 ranked defense. Yes, one of the best teams in the SEC played a strength of schedule that is considered average in that is is within one standard deviation of the "leagues" average strength of schedule. Later on this month, I will write a blog on the different conferences strength of schedule and investigate this in further detail.
Nebraska is currently 10-3 playing against a tougher than average strength of schedule. In other words, Nebraska has played better opponents this season than Georgia in a statistically measurable way. Nebraska's best win was over currently ranked #23 Arkansas State and their worst loss was in the Big 10 championship game to currently ranked #25 Wisconsin. Nebraska is currently the #32 most productive team in the football bowl subdivision with the #14 most productive offense and the #59 most productive defense.
Given that Georgia is more productive on both offense and defense, the model "predicts" that Georgia will be the winner in today's Capital One Bowl.
Rose Bowl 2012
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The "grand-daddy of them all" - the Rose Bowl - is being played by the Stanford Cardinal of the PAC 12 Conference and the Wisconsin Badgers of the Big 10 Conference. Using the NCAA FBS Production Model, let's see how productive each team has been this season.
Stanford is currently 11-2 after defeating UCLA in the PAC 12 championship game, and playing a tougher strength of schedule than the league average. Stanford's best win of the season was over currently ranked #2 University of Oregon and their worst loss was to currently ranked #52 University of Washington. Stanford is currently ranked as the #18 most productive team overall with the #38 most productive offense and the #16 most productive defense.
Wisconsin is currently 8-5 after defeating Nebraska in the Big 10 championship game while playing against an average strength of schedule. Wisconsin's best win of the season was against currently ranked #6 Utah State and their worst loss was to currently ranked #46 Michigan State. Wisconsin is currently ranked as the #25 team in overall productivity with the #34 ranked offense and the #26 ranked defense.
Given Stanford is ranked higher in overall productivity than Wisconsin, the model "predicts" that Stanford will win the Rose Bowl today.
Stanford is currently 11-2 after defeating UCLA in the PAC 12 championship game, and playing a tougher strength of schedule than the league average. Stanford's best win of the season was over currently ranked #2 University of Oregon and their worst loss was to currently ranked #52 University of Washington. Stanford is currently ranked as the #18 most productive team overall with the #38 most productive offense and the #16 most productive defense.
Wisconsin is currently 8-5 after defeating Nebraska in the Big 10 championship game while playing against an average strength of schedule. Wisconsin's best win of the season was against currently ranked #6 Utah State and their worst loss was to currently ranked #46 Michigan State. Wisconsin is currently ranked as the #25 team in overall productivity with the #34 ranked offense and the #26 ranked defense.
Given Stanford is ranked higher in overall productivity than Wisconsin, the model "predicts" that Stanford will win the Rose Bowl today.
Orange Bowl 2012
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The Orange Bowl hosts the Florida State Seminoles of the Atlantic Coast Conference and the Northern Illinois Huskies of the Mid American Conference. Here is a look at each team using the NCAA FBS Production Model.
Florida State is currently 11-2 playing an easier strength of schedule as compared to the average strength of schedule for the "league". Florida State's most impressive victory was against currently ranked #24 Clemson followed by their ACC Championship game victory over #59 Georgia Tech. The Seminoles other nine wins were against teams currently ranked in the bottom half of the NCAA FBS. The Seminoles worst loss (of only two) was to #70 North Carolina State. Florida State is currently ranked as the #4 team in overall production with the #7 ranked offense and the #11 ranked defense.
Northern Illinois is currently 12-1 playing against a much easier strength of schedule than the average for the "league". NIU is only one of three teams that have played a "much easier" strength of schedule meaning that their strength of schedule is greater than two standard deviations from the average league strength of schedule. To put this into perspective, NIU only played two teams in the top half of the NCAA FBS production ranking (both wins) and the best of those two above average teams was against #36 Kent State. NIU's only loss was by one point to currently ranked #78 Iowa. NIU is currently ranked as the #3 team in overall production in the NCAA FBS, with the #3 ranked offense and the #18 ranked defense.
According to the model, these two teams are very evenly ranked, but given that NIU is slightly more productive than Florida State, the model "predicts" that Northern Illinois University will be the winner in tonight's Orange Bowl game.
Florida State is currently 11-2 playing an easier strength of schedule as compared to the average strength of schedule for the "league". Florida State's most impressive victory was against currently ranked #24 Clemson followed by their ACC Championship game victory over #59 Georgia Tech. The Seminoles other nine wins were against teams currently ranked in the bottom half of the NCAA FBS. The Seminoles worst loss (of only two) was to #70 North Carolina State. Florida State is currently ranked as the #4 team in overall production with the #7 ranked offense and the #11 ranked defense.
Northern Illinois is currently 12-1 playing against a much easier strength of schedule than the average for the "league". NIU is only one of three teams that have played a "much easier" strength of schedule meaning that their strength of schedule is greater than two standard deviations from the average league strength of schedule. To put this into perspective, NIU only played two teams in the top half of the NCAA FBS production ranking (both wins) and the best of those two above average teams was against #36 Kent State. NIU's only loss was by one point to currently ranked #78 Iowa. NIU is currently ranked as the #3 team in overall production in the NCAA FBS, with the #3 ranked offense and the #18 ranked defense.
According to the model, these two teams are very evenly ranked, but given that NIU is slightly more productive than Florida State, the model "predicts" that Northern Illinois University will be the winner in tonight's Orange Bowl game.
Boston's Homeless Court
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The Boston judicial system has begun to address homelessness in an innovative way, establishing a Homeless Court. Launched in 2010, the Boston Homeless Court aims to serve the needs of homeless defendants and to stop the pattern of individuals cycling through the justice system for nonviolent offenses. One way that homeless individuals end up in the system repeatedly is by being held in contempt for failing to respond to a summons, which they did not receive due to living on the streets. The court connects defendants with the services they need, provided they agree to a yearlong commitment with the Court. Services offered include mental health and substance abuse counseling, hospital referrals where necessary, shelter beds, tutoring and GED prep. All defendants are required to work on their job skills or learn new ones. In exchange for this commitment, defendants who complete the program may have their fines forgiven, minor records wiped clean and their cases dismissed - hopefully encouraging their likelihood of success with improving their lives. It is a small program, completing 19 defendants since early 2011, and with 33 pending cases currently in the system. It will be interesting to follow the progress of this court, and its unique approach to addressing homelessness in the busy city of Boston.
BCS handles cases for many defendants who are homeless. We offer them immediate clinical consultation and referrals to a shelter and/or drop-in center as needed.
You can read more about the Boston Homeless Court in the full article here: Boston Globe
The Boston judicial system has begun to address homelessness in an innovative way, establishing a Homeless Court. Launched in 2010, the Boston Homeless Court aims to serve the needs of homeless defendants and to stop the pattern of individuals cycling through the justice system for nonviolent offenses. One way that homeless individuals end up in the system repeatedly is by being held in contempt for failing to respond to a summons, which they did not receive due to living on the streets. The court connects defendants with the services they need, provided they agree to a yearlong commitment with the Court. Services offered include mental health and substance abuse counseling, hospital referrals where necessary, shelter beds, tutoring and GED prep. All defendants are required to work on their job skills or learn new ones. In exchange for this commitment, defendants who complete the program may have their fines forgiven, minor records wiped clean and their cases dismissed - hopefully encouraging their likelihood of success with improving their lives. It is a small program, completing 19 defendants since early 2011, and with 33 pending cases currently in the system. It will be interesting to follow the progress of this court, and its unique approach to addressing homelessness in the busy city of Boston.
BCS handles cases for many defendants who are homeless. We offer them immediate clinical consultation and referrals to a shelter and/or drop-in center as needed.
You can read more about the Boston Homeless Court in the full article here: Boston Globe
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